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EOC Alert #2A - Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 (UPDATE 2PM)

UPDATE: Storm Surge Warning

Post Date:10/18/2019 11:38 AM


As of 1:30 p.m., the National Hurricane Center has upgraded Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 to Tropical Storm Nestor, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. Hernando County remains
under a Storm Surge Warning. Coastal residents are reminded to monitor local news media for the latest information.


Impacts from Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 are expected to begin tonight and continue into Saturday. Hernando
County remains under a Storm Surge Warning. Coastal residents can expect the most significant water levels during
high tide. Forecasted tide cycles are displayed below.

              Hernando Beach Tide Cycle                                                                   Bayport Tide Cycles

 PTC 16_EOC Alert 2_18Oct2019                               Bayport Tide Cycles


Anticipated impacts expected from Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 include:

  • Minor to moderate surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above ground level in coastal areas.
  • Wind gusts to tropical storm force (> 39 mph), mostly within rain bands.
  • Widespread rainfall between 2 to 4 inches. Isolated areas may see up to 5 inches of rain.
  • Increased potential for tornadoes, especially overnight tonight into Saturday morning.

In an abundance of caution, a self-serve sandbag site will be open today, Friday, October 18, 2019 from 10:30 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. at Linda Pedersen Park, 6300 Shoal Line Blvd. Spring Hill, FL 34607. This sandbag site is self-serve only, please bring your own shovel.


  • Monitor tide gauges for Bayport at
  • Monitor tide gauges for Hernando Beach at
  • Residents living in coastal areas are urged to closely monitor local news media and take precautions as needed to protect life and property. Be prepared to move to higher ground if necessary.
  • Continue to monitor for possible changes in forward speed, track and intensity.
  • Do not drive through standing water. Turn around, don’t drown.
  • Monitor your NOAA Weather Radio for possible tornado warnings, especially in the overnight hours. If a tornado warning is issued, seek shelter immediately in the most interior room of your home.
  • Take this opportunity to refresh your emergency supply kit. For more information, visit

PUBLIC INFORMATION CENTER (PIC): (352) 754-4083 or (352) 754-4111 (Recorded)

Hernando County Emergency Management
Florida Division of Emergency Management
National Weather Service - Brooksville
American Red Cross

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